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Red173
5015126.2
720585.6
6679140.7
Blue371
5725116.4
4775156.9
5787124.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302285150200250350400450173371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.714.2
91.4105.5
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
blue by 16.2
156.91.6
141.4143.0
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
Second
5015
#18
126.214.2
90.6104.9
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
red by 1.8
5787
#11
124.51.1
121.2120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
Third
7205
#35
85.67.9
85.677.7
Auto11.0
Teleop70.0
End9.0
blue by 30.8
5725
#16
116.416.0
74.590.5
Auto16.6
Teleop86.5
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed