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Red227
6351118.5
6979104.4
5787124.5
Blue411
4334177.4
4627126.2
5078147.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403770100200300500600227411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5787
#11
124.51.0
122.9123.9
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
blue by 52.9
4334
#15
177.40.6
175.4176.0
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
Second
6351
#17
118.51.6
114.9116.5
Auto17.9
Teleop93.5
End6.5
blue by 28.6
5078
#12
147.10.4
146.2146.6
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
Third
6979
#20
104.40.1
104.8104.8
Auto12.8
Teleop81.0
End12.2
blue by 21.8
4627
#31
126.21.1
128.1127.1
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed