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Red181
7277108.9
1482116.4
6041109.5
Blue487
4010117.7
5015126.2
3250186.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263710100300500600700181487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
#19
116.41.2
113.7114.9
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1
blue by 70.4
186.72.8
175.7178.6
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
Second
6041
#28
109.50.8
108.2109.0
Auto12.7
Teleop89.5
End6.8
blue by 16.8
5015
#18
126.21.7
120.5122.2
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
Third
7277
#22
108.92.1
105.5107.6
Auto16.1
Teleop85.2
End11.9
blue by 8.8
4010
#24
117.70.1
116.6116.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed