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Red279
6701114.6
6364126.8
6841109.7
Blue249
4775156.9
6679140.7
6700116.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183720100300500600700279249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#26
126.80.2
125.8125.7
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
blue by 30.2
156.91.0
156.1157.1
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
Second
6701
#30
114.61.3
111.8113.1
Auto16.3
Teleop85.3
End14.6
blue by 26.1
140.70.1
143.6143.5
Auto22.5
Teleop101.7
End15.3
Third
6841
#14
109.70.7
107.3108.0
Auto14.3
Teleop86.4
End9.8
blue by 6.6
6700
#29
116.31.4
115.6117.0
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed