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Red396
3011119.5
5015126.2
724699.9
Blue242
5078147.1
4010117.7
5118110.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270337100200300400500396242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5015
#18
126.22.4
122.2124.6
Auto15.8
Teleop98.3
End12.9
blue by 20.9
5078
#12
147.10.6
146.6147.2
Auto15.1
Teleop103.7
End26.9
Second
119.50.2
117.3117.5
Auto20.4
Teleop93.2
End6.2
red by 1.8
4010
#24
117.71.0
116.7117.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End7.6
Third
7246
#34
99.92.1
102.099.9
Auto16.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
blue by 10.8
5118
#13
110.73.0
106.8109.7
Auto15.3
Teleop82.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed