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Red215
5787124.5
1482116.4
4733103.5
Blue360
359201.8
460499.3
7277108.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493390100200300400500600700215360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5787
#11
124.50.4
123.9124.3
Auto17.3
Teleop90.5
End19.4
blue by 77.3
359
#4
201.80.1
200.3200.3
Auto22.5
Teleop142.3
End36.8
Second
1482
#19
116.40.9
114.9115.9
Auto13.8
Teleop90.4
End16.1
red by 7.5
7277
#22
108.91.3
107.6108.9
Auto16.1
Teleop85.2
End11.9
Third
4733
#32
103.50.0
103.5103.6
Auto15.1
Teleop77.8
End10.3
red by 4.1
4604
#25
99.30.6
100.099.3
Auto12.7
Teleop83.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned