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Red215
6106139.0
4627126.2
6700116.3
Blue372
6435107.3
1622182.4
6178102.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258331100200300400500600215372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6106
#21
139.01.5
141.7140.2
Auto15.1
Teleop104.6
End18.5
blue by 43.4
182.42.1
176.7178.8
Auto20.2
Teleop134.1
End29.5
Second
4627
#31
126.20.6
127.1126.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End11.9
red by 18.9
6435
#23
107.31.8
105.4107.3
Auto17.5
Teleop84.2
End7.9
Third
6700
#29
116.30.7
117.0116.3
Auto15.0
Teleop88.3
End10.1
red by 14.0
6178
#27
102.31.1
103.3102.3
Auto17.3
Teleop74.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed