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Qual 682018 Canadian Rockies Regional
Red343
4334177.4
3250186.7
3216124.5
Blue424
4775156.9
6364126.8
2130178.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395300200500600700343424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#2
186.73.2
178.6→181.7
Auto28.0
Teleop130.3
End30.6
red by 8.2
2130
#5
178.52.2
170.5→172.8
Auto22.9
Teleop128.7
End29.9
Second
4334
#15
177.40.8
176.0→176.8
Auto21.5
Teleop138.0
End18.3
red by 20.5
4775
#8
156.90.4
157.1→156.7
Auto18.3
Teleop116.9
End21.1
Third
3216
#10
124.52.5
119.3→121.8
Auto15.7
Teleop98.9
End10.6
blue by 2.2
6364
#26
126.80.3
125.7→126.0
Auto14.3
Teleop102.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned