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Red312
4965152.9
4451177.1
5045128.6
Blue265
1319140.4
4533161.0
547120.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351336200300400500600312265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.10.0
177.5177.4
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
red by 16.1
161.01.0
160.0161.0
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
Second
152.90.4
151.9152.3
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
red by 12.5
140.40.5
139.9140.4
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
Third
5045
#18
128.60.3
128.0128.3
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
red by 8.1
547
#24
120.50.3
120.2120.5
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End21.7