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Red394
342160.8
3959175.8
7072114.4
Blue314
141143.5
4087147.4
5410119.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390276100200500600700394314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.6
173.7174.2
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
red by 28.4
147.40.2
147.2147.4
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
Second
342
#8
160.80.6
158.5159.1
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
red by 17.3
141
#19
143.50.2
143.4143.5
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
Third
7072
#36
114.40.2
113.4113.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 5.2
5410
#28
119.50.3
119.2119.5
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7