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Red451
342160.8
3959175.8
7072114.4
Blue225
3593143.5
4740132.2
6404135.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395280100200500600700451225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.6
171.3171.9
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
red by 32.3
3593
#16
143.50.2
143.1143.4
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Second
342
#8
160.80.7
155.7156.4
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
red by 25.5
6404
#23
135.40.2
135.1135.3
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Third
7072
#36
114.40.2
112.4112.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 17.8
4740
#11
132.20.1
132.0132.1
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0