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Red406
342160.8
3959175.8
7072114.4
Blue222
3593143.5
4740132.2
6404135.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397276100200500600700406222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.80.6
171.9172.5
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
red by 32.3
3593
#16
143.50.1
143.4143.5
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Second
342
#8
160.80.7
156.4157.1
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
red by 25.5
6404
#23
135.40.1
135.3135.4
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Third
7072
#36
114.40.2
112.6112.9
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 17.8
4740
#11
132.20.0
132.1132.2
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0