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Red466
141143.5
4087147.4
5410119.5
Blue251
6366144.7
2815141.1
2468168.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143650100200400500600466251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.40.1
147.3147.2
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
blue by 20.9
2468
#15
168.30.2
168.0168.2
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
Second
141
#19
143.50.1
143.2143.2
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
blue by 1.2
6366
#14
144.70.0
144.8144.8
Auto18.5
Teleop105.5
End19.8
Third
5410
#28
119.50.1
118.4118.6
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7
blue by 21.5
2815
#10
141.10.2
140.8141.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End19.7