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Red178
3593143.5
384395.1
5616102.8
Blue303
2556143.8
3844123.5
7065107.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300243100200400500600178303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#16
143.50.4
144.2144.6
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
blue by 0.3
143.82.6
128.5131.1
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
Second
5616
#39
102.89.9
82.992.9
Auto12.1
Teleop79.6
End11.2
blue by 20.7
3844
#13
123.50.5
111.1111.6
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
Third
3843
#41
95.111.3
86.898.1
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
blue by 12.1
7065
#29
107.18.8
77.786.6
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed