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Red267
4451177.1
4924106.3
6937114.5
Blue323
4965152.9
2815141.1
4740132.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336268100200300400500600267323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.12.2
169.2171.4
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
red by 24.2
152.92.3
131.5133.8
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
Second
6937
#37
114.58.7
77.786.5
Auto12.9
Teleop88.6
End12.2
blue by 26.6
2815
#10
141.10.6
124.6125.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End19.7
Third
4924
#38
106.310.8
84.695.4
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
blue by 25.9
4740
#11
132.28.1
79.988.0
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed