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Red195
731383.3
2468168.3
4306127.8
Blue335
5721108.7
1319140.4
2973117.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317215100400500195335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#15
168.31.4
164.9166.3
Auto22.4
Teleop125.2
End18.4
red by 27.9
140.40.6
120.5119.9
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
Second
4306
#27
127.811.7
85.797.5
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
red by 10.3
2973
#20
117.54.2
93.998.1
Auto16.3
Teleop89.9
End14.2
Third
7313
#42
83.32.5
86.088.5
Auto10.7
Teleop71.3
End1.3
blue by 25.5
5721
#30
108.70.7
108.2107.6
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed