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Red119
384395.1
3139116.8
547120.5
Blue321
5045128.6
2556143.8
6107104.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203060100400500119321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
#24
120.57.7
95.2102.9
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End21.7
blue by 23.3
143.82.3
131.1133.5
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
Second
3139
#25
116.85.5
94.099.6
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
blue by 11.7
5045
#18
128.67.0
99.4106.4
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
Third
3843
#41Sur
95.12.4
103.5105.9
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
blue by 9.0
6107
#33
104.17.1
88.795.8
Auto12.9
Teleop85.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed