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Red346
3792149.9
538107.4
4087147.4
Blue173
442103.7
7065107.1
4924106.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472070100300400500346173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.91.6
129.8131.4
Auto16.2
Teleop112.9
End22.8
red by 42.7
7065
#29
107.16.7
86.693.2
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End8.2
Second
147.48.7
115.4124.1
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
red by 41.2
4924
#38
106.31.8
102.3104.1
Auto17.1
Teleop79.8
End12.4
Third
538
#40
107.44.2
105.0109.2
Auto14.8
Teleop81.0
End10.5
red by 3.6
442
#31
103.75.6
91.296.9
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed