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Red182
3844123.5
5410119.5
3966117.0
Blue371
4451177.1
4740132.2
34132.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214379100300500600182371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
#13
123.50.7
111.6112.3
Auto19.6
Teleop91.7
End13.1
blue by 53.6
177.11.2
172.8174.0
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
Second
5410
#28
119.52.1
120.9118.8
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7
blue by 12.6
4740
#11
132.29.0
95.5104.6
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
Third
3966
#22
117.03.4
98.7102.1
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
blue by 15.0
34
#26
132.00.4
125.5126.0
Auto15.4
Teleop101.5
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed