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Red306
2815141.1
5005100.8
7026131.7
Blue383
141143.5
6404135.4
7111113.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247344100200300400500600306383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#10
141.11.5
125.2126.7
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End19.7
blue by 2.5
141
#19
143.51.0
135.4136.4
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
Second
7026
#12
131.75.8
102.7108.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.1
End11.5
blue by 3.7
6404
#23
135.42.4
126.6129.0
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Third
5005
#43
100.81.4
95.296.6
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End8.5
blue by 13.0
7111
#21
113.87.5
94.3101.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed