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Red277
1369134.9
442103.7
141143.5
Blue389
3959175.8
7065107.1
4740132.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873140100200400500600700800277389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#19
143.51.6
137.9139.5
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
blue by 32.3
175.87.7
135.6143.3
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
Second
1369
#17
134.90.1
137.0136.8
Auto15.3
Teleop105.1
End12.4
red by 2.7
4740
#11
132.25.6
111.8117.5
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
Third
442
#31
103.73.6
100.6104.2
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
blue by 3.4
7065
#29
107.13.8
97.6101.4
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed