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Red227
5058102.3
4533161.0
2973117.5
Blue290
4451177.1
3966117.0
4306127.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248344100200300400500227290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.04.3
134.1138.4
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
blue by 16.1
177.11.0
175.4176.4
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
Second
2973
#20
117.50.3
104.3104.6
Auto16.3
Teleop89.9
End14.2
blue by 10.3
4306
#27
127.84.7
113.6118.2
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
Third
5058
#35
102.31.7
98.4100.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End4.3
blue by 14.7
3966
#22
117.02.7
104.4107.1
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed