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Red281
4306127.8
6404135.4
3319100.7
Blue246
7072114.4
1369134.9
5005100.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312271150200250350400450281246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6404
#23
135.40.7
134.0134.7
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
red by 0.5
1369
#17
134.90.6
136.7136.1
Auto15.3
Teleop105.1
End12.4
Second
4306
#27
127.82.8
120.1122.9
Auto14.5
Teleop100.4
End15.1
red by 13.4
7072
#36
114.41.4
110.2111.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
Third
3319
#32
100.71.3
97.098.3
Auto16.2
Teleop80.5
End2.8
blue by 0.1
5005
#43
100.80.2
105.3105.5
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed