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Red198
34132.0
5721108.7
5058102.3
Blue367
3792149.9
3139116.8
4740132.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258346100200300400500600198367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
#26
132.01.2
129.4130.6
Auto15.4
Teleop101.5
End16.6
blue by 17.8
149.91.3
139.5140.8
Auto16.2
Teleop112.9
End22.8
Second
5721
#30
108.71.0
108.6109.6
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
blue by 23.4
4740
#11
132.23.5
122.2125.7
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
Third
5058
#35
102.31.5
101.3102.8
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End4.3
blue by 14.5
3139
#25
116.83.2
107.3110.5
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed