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Red462
4533161.0
442103.7
2556143.8
Blue165
6366144.7
731383.3
7111113.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316256100200400500462165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.03.7
145.5149.2
Auto24.5
Teleop115.7
End23.5
red by 16.3
6366
#14
144.71.1
143.4144.4
Auto18.5
Teleop105.5
End19.8
Second
143.80.1
139.2139.0
Auto15.0
Teleop111.1
End17.2
red by 29.9
7111
#21
113.81.1
118.9117.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
Third
442
#31
103.72.1
104.5102.5
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
red by 20.5
7313
#42
83.32.2
89.687.4
Auto10.7
Teleop71.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed