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Red426
4451177.1
4965152.9
5410119.5
Blue201
7065107.1
5005100.8
4087147.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632620100200300400500426201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.10.5
177.0176.6
Auto23.3
Teleop128.6
End21.1
red by 29.6
147.43.4
141.7145.1
Auto17.6
Teleop113.1
End19.2
Second
152.92.0
145.2147.2
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
red by 45.7
7065
#29
107.10.0
107.7107.6
Auto15.2
Teleop85.1
End8.2
Third
5410
#28
119.50.1
117.2117.3
Auto16.3
Teleop88.8
End16.7
red by 18.7
5005
#43
100.81.9
105.5103.6
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed