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Red407
342160.8
3593143.5
5045128.6
Blue161
141143.5
34132.0
3139116.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330299100200400500407161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#8
160.80.6
152.9153.5
Auto19.3
Teleop126.9
End16.0
red by 17.3
141
#19
143.51.1
141.7142.8
Auto18.8
Teleop115.0
End10.6
Second
3593
#16
143.50.1
142.9142.8
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
red by 11.5
34
#26
132.00.6
130.6131.2
Auto15.4
Teleop101.5
End16.6
Third
5045
#18
128.62.7
121.3124.0
Auto19.5
Teleop97.4
End8.2
red by 11.7
3139
#25
116.83.0
110.5113.5
Auto13.8
Teleop89.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed