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Red261
4740132.2
2973117.5
547120.5
Blue336
7026131.7
1319140.4
6404135.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264339100200300400500261336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4740
#11
132.23.2
125.7128.9
Auto18.7
Teleop94.2
End18.0
blue by 8.2
140.41.6
134.8136.3
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
Second
547
#24
120.51.3
116.5117.9
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End21.7
blue by 14.9
6404
#23
135.40.4
134.7135.1
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Third
2973
#20
117.52.5
111.5114.0
Auto16.3
Teleop89.9
End14.2
blue by 14.2
7026
#12
131.71.6
129.2130.8
Auto15.7
Teleop103.1
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed