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Red128
5616102.8
6937114.5
5721108.7
Blue470
3959175.8
7072114.4
3966117.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113590100300400500600128470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6937
#37
114.53.4
110.4113.8
Auto12.9
Teleop88.6
End12.2
blue by 61.3
175.83.7
160.2163.9
Auto25.0
Teleop136.0
End15.3
Second
5721
#30
108.70.4
109.6110.0
Auto19.6
Teleop79.8
End8.5
blue by 8.2
3966
#22
117.01.9
111.0112.9
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
Third
5616
#39
102.80.8
107.2106.4
Auto12.1
Teleop79.6
End11.2
blue by 11.6
7072
#36
114.41.1
111.6110.4
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed