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Red300
384395.1
6366144.7
442103.7
Blue293
4965152.9
3966117.0
6404135.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363800100200300500600300293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#14
144.70.1
144.4144.5
Auto18.5
Teleop105.5
End19.8
blue by 8.2
152.92.2
147.2149.4
Auto17.3
Teleop114.2
End19.6
Second
442
#31
103.70.6
102.5103.1
Auto15.9
Teleop74.4
End12.8
blue by 31.6
6404
#23
135.40.1
135.1135.2
Auto15.9
Teleop98.3
End20.8
Third
3843
#41
95.11.9
98.196.2
Auto15.7
Teleop77.7
End2.4
blue by 21.9
3966
#22
117.02.6
112.9115.6
Auto17.1
Teleop91.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed