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Red299
6107104.1
7072114.4
1319140.4
Blue203
3593143.5
6937114.5
7111113.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283262100150200350400450500299203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.41.0
136.3137.4
Auto16.1
Teleop112.0
End15.1
blue by 3.1
3593
#16
143.50.3
142.8143.1
Auto23.0
Teleop105.8
End14.3
Second
7072
#36
114.40.5
110.4111.0
Auto13.9
Teleop84.4
End17.1
blue by 0.1
6937
#37
114.50.5
113.8114.3
Auto12.9
Teleop88.6
End12.2
Third
6107
#33
104.12.1
106.5104.4
Auto12.9
Teleop85.8
End7.4
blue by 9.8
7111
#21
113.82.2
117.8115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop89.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed