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Qual 12018 Archimedes Division
Red292
7160125.9
3381131.4
3656198.3
Blue425
3928169.0
1756192.3
6875134.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327351100200300400500292425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#36
198.30.6
203.5→203.0
Auto20.3
Teleop148.8
End30.5
red by 6.0
1756
#5
192.30.1
187.9→187.8
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
3381
#55
131.40.2
127.6→127.4
Auto18.1
Teleop100.2
End16.6
blue by 37.5
3928
#9
169.02.2
166.6→164.4
Auto23.3
Teleop124.5
End22.5
Third
7160
#40
125.90.2
121.9→122.1
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
blue by 9.0
6875
#14
134.90.5
123.6→124.0
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned