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Red338
5436176.2
4096150.4
2016150.0
Blue344
4776177.9
447174.2
6237149.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332387200300500600700338344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#39
176.20.0
173.5173.5
Auto23.6
Teleop130.3
End21.5
blue by 1.7
177.90.1
169.2169.3
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
Second
4096
#56
150.40.3
146.3146.7
Auto18.3
Teleop113.9
End17.9
blue by 23.8
447
#34
174.21.2
167.1168.3
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
Third
2016
#32
150.00.6
149.3148.7
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
red by 0.5
6237
#47
149.51.2
144.5145.8
Auto16.6
Teleop107.0
End25.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed