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Red317
3620174.1
6237149.5
5422124.7
Blue369
1493149.1
1325208.4
1923189.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245437100200300400500600317369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#16
174.10.3
172.6172.3
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
blue by 34.3
208.40.4
208.0208.5
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
6237
#47
149.50.3
148.6148.9
Auto16.6
Teleop107.0
End25.9
blue by 39.5
1923
#19
189.01.0
187.5188.5
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
Third
5422
#62
124.70.7
123.0123.7
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End11.6
blue by 24.4
1493
#64
149.11.2
151.4150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned27%Face the Boss oddsMissed