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Red386
58155.9
3767153.2
4786163.5
Blue243
4521142.2
447174.2
2081150.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3693230100200500600700800386243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
163.50.8
160.7161.5
Auto21.4
Teleop122.2
End21.0
blue by 10.6
447
#34
174.20.7
173.5174.2
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
Second
58
#59
155.90.5
154.6155.1
Auto17.5
Teleop120.5
End20.0
red by 5.1
2081
#60
150.80.6
152.5151.9
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
Third
3767
#46
153.20.4
152.1152.5
Auto18.9
Teleop122.7
End14.9
red by 11.0
4521
#41
142.21.1
140.9141.9
Auto17.7
Teleop105.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed