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Red324
555121.3
4011146.5
2075168.3
Blue437
6328160.7
870188.5
5407164.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2664330100200300400500600700324437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#22
168.30.4
166.8167.2
Auto19.2
Teleop135.3
End15.8
blue by 20.2
870
#20
188.50.0
188.4188.4
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
Second
4011
#42
146.50.6
147.2146.6
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.5
blue by 18.3
5407
#21
164.90.5
163.7164.2
Auto16.7
Teleop118.9
End30.5
Third
555
#37
121.30.5
120.0120.5
Auto18.1
Teleop80.7
End24.5
blue by 39.5
160.70.2
159.9160.1
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned