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Red338
6328160.7
1218184.1
3767153.2
Blue361
2200179.8
6121147.4
4776177.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38334305001,0001,5002,000338361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#29
184.10.1
183.7183.8
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
red by 4.4
2200
#12
179.80.3
178.8179.1
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
Second
160.70.4
160.1160.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
blue by 17.2
177.90.2
177.9177.7
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
Third
3767
#46
153.20.7
152.5153.2
Auto18.9
Teleop122.7
End14.9
red by 5.8
6121
#38
147.41.6
145.8147.4
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned54%Face the Boss oddsEarned