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Red299
5674167.5
3618160.2
1923189.0
Blue371
2016150.0
4521142.2
67207.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37934502006008001,0001,2001,400299371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
189.00.6
188.5189.0
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
blue by 18.1
67
#1
207.11.0
205.3206.3
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
Second
5674
#44
167.50.4
167.9167.5
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
red by 17.5
2016
#32
150.01.3
147.9149.1
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
Third
3618
#63
160.21.3
161.4160.2
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
red by 18.0
4521
#41
142.20.2
141.9142.2
Auto17.7
Teleop105.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed81%Face the Boss oddsMissed