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Red282
1660139.2
2620117.6
1114226.9
Blue407
1325208.4
5913140.3
868200.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280437100200400500600700282407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10
226.91.2
224.9226.2
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 18.5
208.40.1
208.5208.6
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
1660
#50
139.20.5
139.7139.2
Auto21.9
Teleop102.5
End11.5
blue by 61.2
868
#3
200.41.3
198.3199.6
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Third
2620
#68
117.61.6
119.2117.6
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
blue by 22.7
5913
#31
140.31.1
139.2140.3
Auto19.2
Teleop105.1
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsMissed