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Red387
1114226.9
4392165.3
4237175.9
Blue336
868200.4
6121147.4
447174.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212790100200500600700387336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#10Sur
226.91.3
223.6222.3
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 26.5
868
#3Sur
200.41.0
187.6188.6
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Second
4237
#23
175.91.6
167.2168.8
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
red by 1.7
447
#34
174.21.0
169.3170.3
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
Third
4392
#54
165.30.9
173.4172.6
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
red by 17.9
6121
#38
147.40.1
141.2141.0
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsMissed