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Red275
1218184.1
7329138.2
2016150.0
Blue432
2075168.3
1756192.3
3620174.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2904190100200500600700275432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#29
184.10.3
181.2181.5
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
blue by 8.1
192.30.8
188.8189.6
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
2016
#32
150.00.0
148.3148.3
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 24.0
3620
#16
174.10.8
173.3174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
Third
7329
#48
138.20.6
139.6139.0
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
blue by 30.2
2075
#22
168.31.7
168.3166.6
Auto19.2
Teleop135.3
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsEarned