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Qual 272018 Archimedes Division
Red231
3767153.2
1559169.5
1262180.5
Blue287
5531145.1
67207.1
870188.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354379200300400500600231287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#57
180.50.4
188.7→188.3
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
blue by 26.6
67
#1
207.10.2
205.7→205.5
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
Second
1559
#25
169.51.1
161.9→162.9
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
blue by 19.0
870
#20
188.50.4
191.1→191.5
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
Third
3767
#46
153.22.3
162.4→160.1
Auto18.9
Teleop122.7
End14.9
red by 8.1
5531
#67
145.10.8
153.1→152.3
Auto15.9
Teleop114.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed88%Face the Boss oddsEarned