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Red226
1322162.9
612172.1
5422124.7
Blue335
694209.3
2081150.8
6875134.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833800100200500600700226335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#49
172.10.7
167.9168.6
Auto21.9
Teleop134.9
End17.7
blue by 37.1
694
#8
209.30.0
207.6207.6
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
Second
1322
#13
162.91.5
155.0156.5
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
red by 12.1
2081
#60
150.80.8
155.9155.0
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
Third
5422
#62
124.70.3
118.1118.4
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End11.6
blue by 10.2
6875
#14
134.92.1
125.3127.4
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed