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Red337
1493149.1
3928169.0
3618160.2
Blue457
4786163.5
6328160.7
4776177.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348353300320340360380400420440337457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.00.4
163.6163.2
Auto23.3
Teleop124.5
End22.5
blue by 9.0
177.90.6
169.4170.0
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
Second
3618
#63
160.20.3
163.0162.7
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
blue by 3.4
4786
#11
163.50.7
152.4153.2
Auto21.4
Teleop122.2
End21.0
Third
1493
#64
149.11.1
161.6160.5
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
blue by 11.7
160.70.5
157.8157.3
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned