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Qual 312018 Archimedes Division
Red395
4557184.7
4541169.2
5216157.5
Blue204
6860103.3
7160125.9
2830156.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262300100200300500600395204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#43
184.70.2
186.4→186.6
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
red by 28.3
2830
#51
156.31.4
149.3→150.7
Auto18.7
Teleop122.4
End11.8
Second
4541
#28
169.21.3
168.4→167.1
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
red by 43.3
7160
#40
125.90.2
122.4→122.5
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
Third
5216
#35
157.50.1
154.6→154.7
Auto16.9
Teleop120.2
End21.0
red by 54.2
6860
#65
103.31.0
107.3→106.4
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed