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Red507
67207.1
4541169.2
694209.3
Blue194
3620174.1
6875134.9
447174.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4472790100200400500600700507194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
209.30.0
207.6207.6
Auto24.8
Teleop159.5
End24.5
red by 35.1
447
#34
174.21.3
170.3171.5
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
Second
67
#1
207.10.7
205.5204.8
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
red by 33.0
3620
#16
174.11.1
174.1175.3
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
Third
4541
#28
169.21.1
167.1166.0
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
red by 34.3
6875
#14
134.91.6
127.4129.0
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
67%Face the Boss oddsEarned54%Face the Boss oddsMissed