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Red301
870188.5
3656198.3
1493149.1
Blue411
7329138.2
868200.4
7160125.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439286100200400500600700800301411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#36
198.31.0
202.9201.9
Auto20.3
Teleop148.8
End30.5
blue by 2.1
868
#3
200.41.3
188.6189.9
Auto25.1
Teleop145.7
End30.4
Second
870
#20
188.50.3
191.5191.2
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
red by 50.4
7329
#48
138.20.9
139.0138.1
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
Third
1493
#64
149.10.8
160.5159.6
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
red by 23.2
7160
#40
125.90.0
122.5122.6
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed