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Red605
5724151.0
6328160.7
1325208.4
Blue309
5531145.1
5216157.5
2228124.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152640100200300500600605309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.40.3
202.5202.8
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 50.9
5216
#35
157.50.0
154.5154.6
Auto16.9
Teleop120.2
End21.0
Second
160.70.9
159.3158.5
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
red by 15.6
5531
#67
145.10.4
153.8153.4
Auto15.9
Teleop114.4
End10.9
Third
5724
#24
151.00.6
145.4144.8
Auto18.7
Teleop110.2
End24.9
red by 26.8
2228
#61
124.20.5
118.9119.4
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed