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Red157
4909167.0
6860103.3
303191.8
Blue444
1923189.0
4392165.3
1559169.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299406100200500600700800157444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#33
191.80.2
196.9196.7
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
red by 2.8
1923
#19
189.00.3
185.1185.4
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
Second
4909
#53
167.00.8
167.0167.8
Auto17.9
Teleop123.9
End24.0
blue by 2.5
1559
#25
169.51.6
158.8160.3
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
Third
6860
#65
103.30.5
107.1107.5
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
blue by 62.0
4392
#54
165.30.8
174.6173.8
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed