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Red416
1923189.0
6121147.4
3928169.0
Blue286
4096150.4
5531145.1
4557184.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3973130100200500600700416286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
189.00.0
186.4186.4
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
red by 4.4
4557
#43
184.70.1
186.7186.8
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
Second
169.00.0
163.0163.0
Auto23.3
Teleop124.5
End22.5
red by 18.5
4096
#56
150.40.5
148.0148.5
Auto18.3
Teleop113.9
End17.9
Third
6121
#38
147.41.3
141.4142.6
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
red by 2.3
5531
#67
145.10.8
151.1150.2
Auto15.9
Teleop114.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed